Value Betting the Draw Part 3

Two days of decent profit and one with a very small loss so far.

I have managed to get online in time to post the selections for today.

Exeter v Millwall @ 3.42 Pinnacle = Win = +£24.20
Gillingham v Yeovil @ 3.43 Pinnacle = Loss = -£10 (+£14.20)
Hartlepool v Southampton @ 3.41 v Pinnacle = Loss = -£10 (+£4.20)
Milton Keynes Dons v Carlisle @ 3.77 Pinnacle = Loss -£10 (-£5.80)
Norwich v Brighton @ 4.13 Pinnacle = Loss -£10 (-£15.80)
Tranmere v Southend @ 3.40 BetFred = Loss -£10 (-£25.80)
Wycombe v Brentford @ 3.40 BetFred = Loss -£10 (-£35.80)
Aldershot v Northampton @ 3.40 BetFred = Loss -£10 (-£45.80)
Bournemouth v Dagenham @ 3.40 Pinnacle = Win +£24.00 (-£21.80)
Bury v Chesterfield @ 3.40 BetFred = Loss -£10 (-£31.80)
Cheltenham v Barnet @ 3.40 BetFred = Loss -£10 (-£41.80)
Crewe v Burton @ 3.54 Pinnacle = Loss -£10 (-£51.80)
Darlington v Morecombe @ 3.50 BetFred = Loss -£10 (-£61.80)
Grimsby v Bradford @ 3.43 Pinnacle = Loss -£10 (-£71.80)
Hereford v Shrewsbury @ 3.40 BetFred = Loss -£10 (-£81.80)
Port Vale v Torquay @ 3.50 BetFred = Win +£25 (-£56.80)
Rotherham v Lincoln @ 4.04 Pinnacle = Loss -£10 (-£66.80)
Wimbledon v Ebbsfleet @ 4.52 Pinnacle= Loss -£10 (-£76.80)
Cambridge v Rushden @ 3.40 Stan James – Win +£24 (-£52.80)
Crawley v Salisbury @ 3.40 Stan James = Loss -£10 (-£62.80)
Eastbourne v Histon @ 3.50 Ladbrokes = Win +£25 (-£37.80)
Forest Green v Oxford @ 3.92 Pinnacle = Loss -£10 (-£47.80)
Kettering v Hayes @ 3.84 Pinnacle = Loss -£10 (-£57.80)
Stevenage v Chester @ 5.16 Pinnacle Loss -£10 (-£67.80)
Tamworth v Altrincham @ 3.40 BetFred = Loss -£10 (-£77.80)
Wrexham v Kidderminster @ 3.40 Stan James Win = +£24 (-£53.80)
York v Gateshead @ 3.95 Pinnacle = Loss -£10 (-£63.80)

Odds are correct for last night.

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1. 

   Dave says:

   November 24, 2009 at 8:52 pm

   10 matches are still even at half time – which is better than the average of 28%
2. 

   Madbias says:

   November 24, 2009 at 9:46 pm

   I’ve a feeling we may be a few points down tonight
3. 

   Dave says:

   November 24, 2009 at 9:59 pm

   Yup – a few points down (-£63.80) on the day. But still up quite a bit overall.

   Just looking at tomorrow to see if there are any selections that may be possible.
4. 

   Dave says:

   November 25, 2009 at 6:53 am

   Hull v Everton @ 3.46
   Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz @ 4.40
   W. Neustadt v LASK Linz @ 3.93
5. 

   Madbias says:

   November 25, 2009 at 8:23 pm

   Could be unlucky tonight. Only Hull v Everton to go and Hull are walking all over Everton – 3-0 at the moment. Still, got chance for Hull to have someone sent off and it end in a 3-3 draw !!!
6. 

   Madbias says:

   November 25, 2009 at 10:50 pm

   hehehe – nearly – ended up 3-2 in the end
7. 

   Dave says:

   November 25, 2009 at 11:45 pm

   Was close.
   Sturm were beaten in the 89th minute too.

   This is still a paper exercise – I want to look at other factors to see if there is an additional selection criteria that will help.
8. 

   Dave says:

   November 27, 2009 at 5:43 pm

   For Friday – none of the matches are even at half time yet so as a paper exercise this will be interesting.

   Aus 2 27/11/2009 A Lustenau FC Lustenau
   Aus 2 27/11/2009 Hartberg Dornbirn
   Aus 2 27/11/2009 Innsbruck St Polten
   Aus 2 27/11/2009 Salzberg Vienna
   Bel 1 27/11/2009 Anderlecht Kortijk
   Fra 2 27/11/2009 Le Havre Ajaccio
   Fra 2 27/11/2009 Nantes Chateauroux
   Ger 1 27/11/2009 Bochum Koln
   Ger 2 27/11/2009 Aachen Ahlen
   Ger 2 27/11/2009 Karlsruher Koblenz
   Net 1 27/11/2009 Sparta PSV
   Net 2 27/11/2009 Dordrecht GA Eagles
   Net 2 27/11/2009 Emmen Eindhoven
   Net 2 27/11/2009 Helmond Den Bosch
   Net 2 27/11/2009 Maastricht Appeldorn
   Net 2 27/11/2009 Omniworld Veendam
   Net 2 27/11/2009 Roosendaal Volendam
   Net 2 27/11/2009 Telstar Sittard
   Net 2 27/11/2009 Top OSS Excelsior
   Net 2 27/11/2009 Zwolle Cambuur