Dead Certs

This theory developed from the betting on favourites idea, using form and league position as a guide, teams were selected based on their odds. In this case they had to be between 1.16 and 1.36, anything less wasn’t offering value, and anything more was not a Dead Cert. Form also had to be assessed on the previous 6 league games, these had to be played that season.

The trial started on 8th of October and ran for a month. There were frequently lots of selections that met the criteria, the top 3 were chosen when this occurred. On two occasions I broke the rules for selections, these have not been included in the final totals as, with discipline the system does appear to work. I have included the losses on this page as a reminder that sticking to the system is important.

One bet was voided when the game was postponed, so the total number of bets is 29 rather than the 30 that was intended.

The results of the Dead Certs system

In terms of return on investment the system returned 8.52% with an accuracy of 86.21%

The two occasions when we didn’t follow the system 100% saw a loss of £51. Lesson learned: Be disciplined.

This was also applied to cup games with great success, though head to head history and competition history also played a major role in these selections.

We selected 7 games, only 5 picks were published though so I will only include these 5 in the write up.

Those 5 selections were all winners giving an ROI of 23% and a 100% accuracy rating, this is a very small sample size though and should not be seen as a guarantee of profits.

Overall the system is excellent and we see this as a profitable way of betting.

All registered users will have these tips available free until the end of the year.

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